The Mockingbird

A.J. and his Disappearing Deuce

with 5 comments

Once again treading the fine line between providing a tantalizing excerpt and plagarizing my way to the unemployment line, here’s a gem from everyone’s favorite scouting company, Inside Edge, over at ESPN insider from a couple of days ago:

As a two-pitch pitcher, it’s also important for Burnett to be able to get his curveball over for strikes, so hitters can’t just sit on his fastball. In starts when Burnett has thrown his curveball for strikes at a higher rate than the league average (59.2 percent), he has an ERA of 3.15. In games when his curveball strike rate is lower than average, his ERA soars to 5.23.

I know. You’re not surprised. But 2 runs/game? Crazy! That sums up Burnett nicely for me- one of the best pitchers in the league when he has a curve, but no good at all when it’s not there to throw batters off his fastball. If only he had something else to mix in that wasn’t so violent and he could throw for strikes. Oh, wait…


Written by halejon

August 9, 2008 at 3:10 am

Posted in Seriousness

5 Responses

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  1. Watched some Cubs-Cards this afternoon and noticed that STL has done pretty well this year with the same “let’s see what crud sticks to the wall” approach to their rotation that failed on JP in 2007. Lohse, Wellemeyer and Looper (somehow) all have ERA+s on the right side of the ledger. Might it be worth dusting that approach off again in TO for 2009?

    Would you feel more comfortable throwing mega-cash at AJ/Ben Sheets in the off-season or would you hope for the best from three of Litsch/Purcey/D.Romero/Richmond/Wolfe to compliment Doc/Marcum/partial season McGowan?

    johnny was

    August 9, 2008 at 7:19 pm

  2. I think you go after Derek Lowe. He has a 60+ GB% and in front of the Jays infield he’d post similar if not better numbers than Sheets and Burnett can. He’ll also be 36 coming off a 10m contract, so you can probably get him for a more manageable 3/40ish deal. Hey, maybe you convince Boras to send Lowe and Manny over as a package, sell it to both of them as being the missing pieces for the team to contend. It was in the news today that Manny would join the Yankees to spite the Sox – he’d get to face them just as often on the Jays.


    August 10, 2008 at 2:40 am

  3. Johnny: Is McGowan officially a partial 2009? I thought he was clear for ST. I think it all depends on where the pitching market goes, what payroll Rogers comes up with next, and what they can get in the way of bats. There’s been a lot of overpaying for arms lately, and if that continues, yeah- why not fill the 4/5 slots with hopes? That’s probably one of the reasons we’re going to see so much of Richmond.

    Ari: I like that idea- from all K’s/overrated to no K’s and hopefully underrated. And Lowe is one of the few pitchers that signing into the late 30’s isn’t quite so scary and stupid. 3/40 might be a little low though- and I’m sure Boras will demand at least 4 because it’s going to be his last big contract (not to mention starting at something along the lines of the moon and the stars for Manny).


    August 11, 2008 at 1:16 pm

  4. Manny was a Jays fan growing up, so maybe he’ll “hometown” discount it down to all the tea in China.


    August 11, 2008 at 6:48 pm

  5. I would sign him to that contract in a flash. There’s no way he knows how big China is. He would probably get off on a perpetual stream of Chai being delivered to his door, and I can’t imagine that would require the 80-100 million dollars we’d have to pony out otherwise.


    August 11, 2008 at 7:09 pm

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