The Mockingbird

Offseason Landmine

with 5 comments

Every time the Jays lose a couple of games in a row, some Einstein sports writer points out that we needed pitching last offseason and didn’t get it, and that our attempt to “go cheap” on starters has ended in ruin. While it’s true that we’ve ended up with one marginal 5th starter from the 3 pitchers we picked up, nobody ever points out that once plan A (signing Lilly and/or Meche) failed and B (trading Rios – our current MVP – for pitching) wasn’t really going anywhere, we could have done a lot worse. At least we paid basically nothing for crap! Here’s what COULD have happened…

Terrible signings we were thinking about

Woody Williams: 6.25 million for 2 Years REC 1-6 | ERA 5.52 | WHIP 1.53

Vincente Padilla: 11.3 million for 3 years REC 2-6 | ERA 5.52 | WHIP 1.55

Tony Armas: 3 million for one year REC 0-3 | ERA 8.16 | WHIP 2.09

Yikes…dodged a few bullets there. Well maybe you were wondering about someone else, who the Jays just didn’t seem to have on their radar- here’s how it could have turned out:

Terrible singings that were in the same league

Jeff Weaver: 8.5 million REC 0-6 | ERA 14.32 | WHIP 2.59

Kip Wells: 4 million REC 2-8 | SV 0 | ERA 6.10 | WHIP 1.44

Adam Eaton: 8 million for 3 years REC 4-3 | SV 0 | ERA 5.70 | WHIP 1.49

Kei Igawa: 5 Million for 4 years REC 2-1 | SV 0 | ERA 7.63 | WHIP 1.60

Miguel Batista: 8 million for 3 years – : REC 4-4 | ERA 5.61 | WHIP 1.62

Ok, maybe you were of the “get what you pay for” theory and we should have opened up the wallets and gotten a REAL pitcher?

The expensive crowd

Jason Schmidt: 15.5 million, 3 years REC 1-2 |ERA 7.36 | WHIP 2.00 (Not to mention on the DL, velocity down, possibly finished)

Barry Zito: 18 mil, 7 years REC 4-5 |ERA 4.70 | WHIP 1.35

While we’re at it, here’s some options instead of the much-maligned Clayton for the middle infield, or Thomas at DH.

Hitters

Julio Lugo: 9 million, 4 years AVG .236 | HR 3 | RBI 27

Adam Kennedy: 3.3 million, 3 years:  AVG .231 | HR 0 | RBI 9

Frank Catalonotto: 5 million, 3 years  AVG .164 | HR 3 | RBI 10

Mark Derosa: 4.3 million, 3 years  AVG .254 | HR 4 | RBI 19

Put it all together, and there’s a ton of cash we didn’t waste- and there wasn’t really much out there (other than the two we tried real hard for who are tearing up the league). The only pitchers that are doing decent are Marquis (ha!), Suppan (4 x 10 mil is still ridiculous) and Randy Wolf (we’ll see if he makes it past 12 games this year). They say sometimes the best trade is the one you don’t make- well, these are some really good offseason signings in the same vein.

Written by halejon

May 26, 2007 at 6:06 pm

Posted in Baseball, Blue Jays, Seriousness

Tagged with , ,

5 Responses

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  1. Wow, every team EXCEPT the poor stupid Mariners dodged a bullet on Weaver, its been a turkey shoot every time they’ve run him out there – methinks, ‘right shoulder tendinitis’ is code for ‘lets buy some more time so this doesn’t come out worse then the Russ Ortiz debacle. Did they even look at his stats last year???

    In Frank Catalanotto defence, he’s been bitten by the injury bug again which has plagued him his whole career – it seems the only place he was able to stay mostly health was in a platoon in Toronto. Still one of the best pure hitters in the game – and he’s still been hitting HRs about once every 12ABs.

    I know he’s our current MVP – but the Rios for Penny trade is looking might tasty right now:

    Brad Penny: REC 6-1 | ERA 2.26 | WHIP 1.23

    On a high note for free agent signings, I think we’re finally seeing some life in Frank Thomas. Didn’t you mention that we’re about at the 1-year anniversary to the day where he broke out last year?

    Dan

    May 26, 2007 at 10:49 pm

  2. Wow.

    The average pitcher in baseball… sucks.

    hroman

    May 28, 2007 at 4:23 pm

  3. Poor stupid Mariners…amazing that a couple of good starts in the playoffs got a team to bite. At least it wasn’t a multi-year contract. They also signed Sidney Ponson to plug up their stream of emerging young starters for a while with a guy who had one good season 4 chances ago.

    I would have screamed so hard if we had traded Rios for Penny in the offseason. Ok, maybe you could have calmed me down with repeated “pitching is everything” sessions. But who knew? Even though Alex is the only guy on our team who can hit right now that would have been a big move.

    On a totally unrelated note- what do you think our record would be right now if Lilly and Meche had signed?

    Yep, it was the 22nd last year that Frank broke out with a couple of homers. This year he just hit everything hard that game, and then followed it up with 2 homer nights. We’re coming up on 200 AB which is the magic number he gave for his power stroke. Oh man if he starts slugging his OBP is going to be so sick.

    halejon

    May 28, 2007 at 4:56 pm

  4. Brad Penny is such a first-half pitcher that I would hold judgment on that non-trade.

    2006 pre-All-Star Game: 10-2, 108.1 IP, 2.91 ERA, 1.21 WHIP
    2006 post-All-Star Game: 6-7, 80.2 IP, 6.25 ERA, 1.60 WHIP

    Oh, and the Mariners didn’t sign Ponson…the Twins were the ones who thought “You know, we have Scott Baker, Matt Garza, Glen Perkins all ready to jump into make the rotation…screw it, let’s sign Sidney Ponson!”

    Chris

    May 29, 2007 at 9:58 pm

  5. Oh, right….and they also signed Ramon Ortiz for 3 million freaking bucks. Unbelievable. Who did pretty much what you’d expect and is now being replaced by Slowey (obviously another good prospect if he’s getting the nod over Garza- but with a terrible name…)

    I love this preseason article, which was basically trying to find sort of thought process behind those two signings.

    http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/risk-vs-uncertainty/

    halejon

    May 30, 2007 at 4:01 am


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